Shows & Panels
- The 2014 Big Picture on Cyber Security
- AFCEA Answers
- Ask the CIO
- Building the Hybrid Cloud
- Connected Government: How to Build and Procure Network Services for the Future
- Continuing Diagnostics and Mitigation: Discussion of Progress and Next Steps
- Federal Executive Forum
- Federal Tech Talk
- The Future of Government Data Centers
- The Future of IT: How CIOs Can Enable the Service-Oriented Enterprise
- Government Perspectives on Mobility and the Cloud
- The Intersection: Where Technology Meets Transformation
- Maximizing ROI Through Data Center Consolidation
- Mitigating Insider Threats in Virtual & Cloud Environments
- Modern Mission Critical Series
- Moving to the Cloud. What's the best approach for me
- Navigating Tough Choices in Government Cloud Computing
- The New Generation of Database
- Reimagining the Next Generation of Government
- Satellite Communications: Acquiring SATCOM in Tight Times
- Targeting Advanced Threats: Proven Methods from Detection through Remediation
- Transformative Technology: Desktop Virtualization in Government
- The Truth About IT Opex and Software Defined Networking
- Value of Health IT
- Air Traffic Management Transformation Report
- Cloud First Report
- General Dynamics IT Enterprise Center
- Gov Cloud Minute
- Government in Technology Series
- Homeland Security Cybersecurity Market Report
- National Cybersecurity Awareness Month
- Technology Insights
- The Cyber Security Report
- The Next Generation Cyber Security Experts
Shows & Panels
Analysis: GOP cuts will only be deeper compared to sequestration
Monday - 3/19/2012, 11:26am EDT
"If we're lucky, we will probably have $1 trillion to $1.2 trillion [in cuts], despite the protection of less than $1 trillion, for the next 10 years, unless something dramatic happens," said Steve Bell, senior director of the Economic Policy Project at the Bipartisan Policy Center, on The Federal Drive with Tom Temin Monday.
On Tuesday, Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), the chairman of the House Budget Committee, will deliver his party's take on the budget. It's expected to include deeper cuts to federal spending.
As part of the Budget Control Act, Congress must agree on a budget that cuts $1.1 trillion by the end of this year to avoid automatic cuts of $1 trillion — $500 billion from defense and $500 billion from all other agencies combined.
Steve Bell, senior director of the Economic Policy Project at the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC photo)
Bell said the budget introduced by the administration in February more or less reflected the $1.1 trillion agreement made last year.
"In domestic spending, the president is actually a little bit less than a flatline budget," he said. "He is in keeping with the Budget Control Act as far as it goes with all of the appropriated accounts. Now, the big disagreement obviously is over what do you do about Medicare and Medicaid? What do you do about the retirement programs? And, what do you do about revenues?"
Bell expects the gridlock of FY11 and FY12 to continue through the FY13 debate.
"The best outcome are the levels that were outlined in the Budget Control Act of last year," he said. "The worst outcome, of course, is that we go into January of next year and we have substantial and abrupt cuts"
The takeaway for agencies at this point is to understand that they would not be receiving any more money for the next year or two compared to what you have now.
"There is some possibility that you will have to eat the cost of inflation, whether that's 2 or 3 percent," Bell said. "I think you're looking at continuing where we are now as a ceiling with some strong possibility that we'll have less spending for federal agencies." He expected it to continue this way for two or three years.
Those holding out hope that the November election would change things may be kidding themselves, Bell said.
"Republicans may retain the House by probably a smaller margin," he said. "We don't know how the presidential election is going to turn out because it's so far away, and the Senate may go plus-two Republican or plus-two Democratic, which means we have in place the same dynamic in the Congress that we have now. So to expect a different result than we have now, when you have essentially the same underlying configuration is unrealistic."